India, Russia suspend negotiations to settle trade in rupees

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  • India started exploring a rupee settlement mechanism with Russia soon after the invasion of Ukraine last year, but there has been no reported deal done in rupees.
  • India and Russia have suspended efforts to settle bilateral trade in rupees after months of negotiations failed to convince Moscow to keep rupees in its reserves.
  • With a high trade gap in favour of Russia, Moscow believes it will end up with an annual rupee surplus of over $40 billion if such a mechanism is worked out.
  • The rupee is not fully convertible. Russia is not comfortable holding rupees and wants to be paid in Chinese yuan or other currencies.
  • The sources said trade with Russia has been continuing despite sanctions and payment issues.
  • Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24 last year, India’s imports from Russia have risen to $51.3 billion until April 5, from $10.6 billion in the same period in the previous year.
  • Discounted oil has constituted a large part of India’s imports, surging twelve-fold in the period.

India started exploring a rupee settlement mechanism with Russia soon after the invasion of Ukraine in February last year, but there has been no reported deal done in rupees. Most trade is in dollars but an increasing amount is being carried out in other currencies like the UAE dirham.

India and Russia have suspended efforts to settle bilateral trade in rupees, after months of negotiations failed to convince Moscow to keep rupees in its reserves, a source with direct knowledge of the matter said. This would be a major setback for Indian importers of cheap oil and coal from Russia who were awaiting a permanent rupee payment mechanism to help lower currency conversion costs.

With a high trade gap in favour of Russia, Moscow believes it will end up with an annual rupee surplus of over $40 billion if such a mechanism is worked out and feels rupee accumulation is ‘not desirable’, the source told the news agency. India’s finance ministry, the Central Reserve Bank of India and Russian authorities did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The rupee is not fully convertible. India’s share of global exports of goods also is just about 2% and these factors reduce the necessity for other countries to hold rupees. The two sides have spoken about facilitating trade in local currencies but the guidelines were not formalized.

Russia is not comfortable holding rupees and wants to be paid in Chinese yuan or other currencies, a source involved in the discussions said. “We don’t want to push rupee settlement anymore, that mechanism is just not working. India has tried everything we could to try and make this work but it hasn’t helped,” the source said. Another official said both countries have started looking for alternatives after the rupee settlement mechanism did not work out. The sources said trade with Russia has been continuing despite sanctions and payment issues.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24 last year, India’s imports from Russia have risen to $51.3 billion until April 5, from $10.6 billion in the same period in the previous year, according to government sources. Discounted oil has constituted a large part of India’s imports, surging twelve-fold in the period.

Indian traders are currently also settling some of the trade payments outside Russia, the officials said.” Third parties are being used to settle trade with Russia. There is no ban on transacting with other countries over SWIFT. So, payments are being made to a third country which routes it or offset it for their trade with Russia,” the other official said.

(With inputs from agencies)

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