BJP is projected to win a comfortable majority in the forthcoming Uttar Pradesh assembly elections 2022, however, it may score less seats than 2017 polls, according to India TV-Ground Zero Research Opinion Polls. The saffron party may secure 42% vote share, Samajwadi Party may bag around 37%, BSP may get somewhere around 13% while Congress and Others may get around 4% each vote share. In terms of seat share, then BJP is likely to win 242-244 seats, SP may get 148-150 seats, BSP may get restricted between 4-6, Congress likely to wrap up in 3-5 seats and Others may win between 1-3 seats. Moreover, incumbent Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath continues to remain the top choice for CM in the state, following with SP chief Akhilesh Yadav, Mayawati, and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra. Polling in UP will be held in 7 phases beginning February 10 and the results will be declared on March 10. In February and March, assembly polls are scheduled in 5 states including UP, Punjab, Goa, Uttarakhand, and Manipur. Many political analysts are also viewing upcoming elections in Uttar Pradesh as a trailer for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections as its result may reflect the mood of the nation. In 2017 UP assembly election, BJP won with a massive mandate bagging 325 seats out of a total of 403, SP won 54, BSP 19, and Others got only 5 seats. Now, ahead of the high-stakes elections, the India TV-Ground Zero Research team conducted an opinion poll to gauge the mood of voters in Uttar Pradesh and to determine which political party is having an edge over the other. Uttar Pradesh has a total of 403 assembly seats. This is the latest opinion poll survey which was conducted between January 20-25. Catch all the updates here.
Yogi Adityanath continues to remain top choice for CM in Uttar Pradesh
According to India TV-Ground Zero Research Opinion Poll, incumbent Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath continues to remain the top choice for CM in the state, following with SP chief Akhilesh Yadav, Mayawati, and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra.
India TV-Ground Zero Research Opinion Poll for Uttar Pradesh: Dec 2021 vs Jan 2022 survey
According to India TV-Ground Zero Research Opinion Poll, both December 2021 and January 2022 survey project that BJP may be able to get the absolute majority in Uttar Pradesh, however, its seat tally may go down from 2017.
Also, the comparison between December and January surveys shows BJP marginally improving its performance which may reflect in the total seat tally. Take a look.