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Trump Bolts G7 Amid Iran-Israel Crisis: Is a New War in the Making?

With the world watching anxiously, Trump’s sudden G7 exit signals more than urgency—it raises questions about America’s next move in a volatile Middle East.

 

A Sudden Exit, A Global Question

On Monday, June 16, President Donald Trump abruptly departed from the G7 summit in Canada, skipping the final sessionsand leaving behind confused allies and a brewing joint statement on de-escalation. I have to be back as soon as I can… for obvious reasons,” he told reporters, offering no further explanation. But the message was clear to most: escalating violence between Iran and Israel had pulled Trump back to Washington.

Within hours, the White House confirmed his early return was due to “what’s going on in the Middle East.” Secretary of State Marco Rubio was seen leaving with him, and reports soon followed that Trump had ordered an urgent national security meeting in the White House Situation Room.

His message on social media only deepened the concern: “Iran should have signed the ‘deal’ I told them to sign… Simply stated, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon… Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!”

The timing, the tone, and the speed of Trump’s reaction have left world leaders—and the global public—wondering: Is America preparing for war?

A Region on the Brink

The Middle East has been thrust into chaos yet again, as hostilities between Iran and Israel reach a fever pitch. The current conflict erupted five days ago when Israel launched airstrikes deep into Iranian territory, targeting Tehran and other critical areas. High-ranking military officers, nuclear scientists, and a key enrichment facility near Qom were among the casualties.

Iran responded swiftly, unleashing hundreds of drones and missiles toward Israeli cities and military installations. The tit-for-tat attacks have drawn condemnation and fear across the globeWith airspace closures and suspended flights across the region, tens of thousands are stranded—many from nations with large diasporas in the region.

India, for instance, has activated a 24x7 control room in New Delhi and launched evacuations of its citizens—mainly students—from Iran via Armenia. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar personally coordinated with Armenian officials to ensure safe passage for Indian nationals. An estimated 10,000 Indians reside in Iran, with around 6,000 of them being students.

The war, though presently bilateral, holds the potential to spiral—pulling in regional players and global superpowers, starting with the United States.

What the G7 Had to Say

Before Trump’s abrupt departure, G7 leaders were preparing a joint communiqué urging both Iran and Israel to halt their attacks and seek a diplomatic resolution. French President Emmanuel Macron confirmed that a ceasefire proposal was on the table and hinted at a possible breakthrough if the U.S. could mediate.

“There is indeed an offer to meet and exchange,” Macron stated. “If the United States of America can achieve a ceasefire, it is a very good thing and France will support it. Nothing justifies attacks on civilian and cultural infrastructure.”

Germany and Canada echoed similar sentiments, advocating a unified Western front to pressure both sides into negotiations. However, Trump’s refusal to sign the G7 joint statement raised eyebrows. According to insiders, he considered the language too soft and “unrealistic” given Iran’s recent actions.

This divergence suggests a deepening rift between the U.S. and its traditional allies—and indicates that Trump may be considering more drastic steps.

Trump’s Options: Diplomacy, Deterrence, or Destruction

Experts point to three paths before Trump, each with serious consequences.

Military Intervention:

If Trump chooses to enter the conflict directly, the U.S. may target Iran’s Fordo nuclear enrichment facility—deep underground and heavily fortified. Only America’s Massive Ordnance Penetrator, deployed by B-2 bombers, could destroy such a site. This would mark the first direct American assault on Iranian soil in decades, and would almost certainly ignite a wider regional war.

Strategic Mediation:

Trump may also use his reputation as a dealmaker to force negotiations between Iran and Israel. Sources say backchannel efforts are underway, possibly leveraging intermediaries in Oman and Qatar. The challenge lies in Iran’s deep distrust of the U.S., especially after Trump unilaterally withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal during his first term.

Non-Involvement:

The third option is to stay out—publicly support Israel while avoiding direct military involvement. But these risks emboldening Israel to act unilaterally, while also diminishing U.S. credibility as a peace broker. Moreover, a non-response could have disastrous consequences if Iran retaliates further, especially against American assets in the region.

A Precipice Moment

Trump’s decision to skip the G7’s closing sessions, coupled with his ominous warnings to Iran, reflect more than just political theatrics. They indicate a potential shift toward confrontation.

Many fear that, with elections looming in the U.S., Trump might find military action an appealing way to consolidate domestic support. A “rally-around-the-flag” effect, after all, has historically benefitted leaders during times of conflict.

But the stakes are enormous. Any miscalculation could plunge the Middle East into a full-scale war and entangle global powers in yet another prolonged and deadly conflict.

Leadership or Legacy?

The world now watches with bated breath. Will Trump step in to broker peace—or spark a regional inferno? His next moves will not only define America’s foreign policy but also shape global stability in an already volatile world.

The urgency of the moment demands more than bravado or bluster—it requires wisdom, restraint, and clarity. For Donald Trump, this is not just a geopolitical test; it is a defining moment of his leadership—and perhaps, his legacy.

 

(With agency inputs)