Business & Economics

Gold, Silver Slide Sharply Amid Dollar, Oil Surge

Gold and silver prices witnessed a steep decline on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) as a stronger US dollar and rising crude oil prices triggered heavy selling in the precious metals market. Gold prices dropped over 1 per cent while silver recorded an even sharper fall of more than 4 per cent, reflecting growing pressure across the broader metals complex.

The sudden correction came amid heightened global uncertainty linked to elevated oil prices, strong US economic data and shifting expectations around interest-rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Analysts say the fall also reflects profit-booking after recent rallies in both metals.

Sharp Fall in MCX Gold and Silver Prices

On the MCX, gold futures for June delivery declined 1.52 per cent, or ₹2,478, touching an intraday low of ₹1,59,500 per 10 grams. Later in the session, gold traded around ₹1,59,792, remaining significantly below the previous close.

Silver prices came under even stronger pressure. July futures plunged 4.12 per cent, or nearly ₹12,000, to around ₹2,79,102 per kilogram. The losses continued throughout the trading session despite underlying support from industrial demand.

Market experts observed that the correction was not limited to one metal alone but reflected broader weakness across commodities and precious metals as investors reassessed risk exposure.

Stronger Dollar and Crude Oil Pressure Metals

One of the biggest reasons behind the decline was the strengthening of the US dollar index, which remained above the 100 mark. A stronger dollar makes gold and silver more expensive for overseas buyers, reducing global demand and pressuring prices.

The dollar’s rise has been closely linked to surging crude oil prices. Brent crude remained near $110 per barrel as tensions connected to the ongoing US-Iran conflict continued into a sixth week. Rising oil prices have increased fears of persistent inflation globally.

Higher inflation expectations, in turn, have reduced hopes that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates anytime soon. Strong US jobs data further strengthened the view that American interest rates may remain elevated for a longer period.

This environment tends to hurt non-yielding assets like gold and silver because investors shift toward assets offering stronger returns.

Profit-Booking Deepens the Correction

Analysts also attributed the fall to profit-booking after precious metals witnessed a strong rally in recent weeks. Investors who had accumulated positions during geopolitical uncertainty appear to be reducing exposure amid volatile market conditions.

Silver, in particular, experienced a sharper correction because of broader weakness in industrial metals and changing market sentiment. However, experts caution that short-term declines do not necessarily alter silver’s long-term fundamentals.

Industrial Demand Continues Supporting Silver

Despite the steep fall, silver continues to receive structural support from growing industrial demand. Sectors such as electronics, electric vehicles and solar energy increasingly depend on silver due to its high conductivity and industrial applications.

Market studies indicate that silver has remained in structural supply deficit for five consecutive years. This imbalance between supply and industrial demand could help stabilise prices once broader financial pressures ease.

What Investors Should Watch Ahead

For Indian buyers, the correction may offer a limited opportunity to accumulate gold and silver at lower levels, though volatility remains extremely high due to geopolitical tensions and currency fluctuations.

Investors are now closely monitoring the dollar index, US economic indicators, Federal Reserve policy signals and developments around the Strait of Hormuz. Any easing in oil prices or geopolitical tensions could support a recovery in precious metals.

A Market Caught Between Fear and Fundamentals

The sharp fall in gold and silver reflects how deeply global commodities are influenced by macroeconomic forces. A stronger dollar, elevated crude prices and changing interest-rate expectations have temporarily weakened investor appetite for precious metals.

Yet the long-term fundamentals — especially for silver — remain intact due to strong industrial demand and structural supply constraints. The coming weeks will determine whether the current correction is temporary profit-booking or the beginning of a deeper market adjustment.

 

(With agency inputs)